ACUS11 KWNS 262156

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 262155 

NCZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-262330-



Mesoscale Discussion 1462

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0455 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025



Areas affected...portions of northern Georgia...the western

Carolinas and eastern Tennessee



Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 



Valid 262155Z - 262330Z



Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent



SUMMARY...Ongoing clusters of multi-cell storms will continue to

pose an isolated risk for locally damaging gusts and small hail into

this evening. A locally greater risk may occur across north-central

GA where stronger storms are occurring.



DISCUSSION...As of 2145 UTC, regional radar/satellite imagery showed

several clusters of semi-organized multi-cells ongoing from northern

GA, through the western Carolinas, and into far eastern TN. Over the

last several hours, reports of locally damaging winds and small hail

have occurred as these clusters have shifted west/southwest within a

broad area of moderate to large buoyancy (MLCAPE 2000-3000 J/kg).

This trend appears likely to continue into early this evening as new

updraft development/intensification continues on the flanks of these

established storm clusters.



A locally greater severe risk may develop in vicinity of the Atlanta

Metro over the next couple of hours as a stronger multi-cell cluster

has emerged. Several downbursts have been noted within this cluster

as multiple strong updrafts have coalesced. While deep-layer flow

remains limited, very large buoyancy and strong surging outflow

could support isolated severe-caliber gusts in the 55-65 mph range

into early this evening.



..Lyons/Guyer.. 06/26/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...



LAT...LON   33608548 34748476 35728388 36258179 36098089 35498036

            34658149 33478354 33048476 33128516 33608548 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN



