ACUS11 KWNS 261912

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 261911 

OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-262115-



Mesoscale Discussion 1457

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0211 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025



Areas affected...portions of far northern Texas...western

Oklahoma...into far southern Kansas



Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 



Valid 261911Z - 262115Z



Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent



SUMMARY...Storms with potential for strong to severe wind possible

this afternoon.



DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development is ongoing across far western

Oklahoma this afternoon where daytime heating has allowed MLCIN to

erode. Temperatures are now in the mid 80s to mid 90s with dew

points in the upper 60s to 70s. MLCAPE around 1000-2000 J/kg is

noted in surface objective analysis. Though the background flow is

generally weak, steep lapse rates around 8-8.5 C/km and moist

profiles will support a few strong storms capable of strong to

severe winds through the afternoon. Given the lack of shear for a

more widespread and organized threat, a watch is unlikely to be

needed.



..Thornton/Hart.. 06/26/2025



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...



LAT...LON   34530051 35969985 37069920 37199805 37139710 36859680

            36529672 36189673 35259736 34209807 34069885 34260004

            34530051 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH



