FXUS64 KLZK 262318 AAA

AFDLZK



Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED

National Weather Service Little Rock AR

618 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025



...New AVIATION...



.KEY MESSAGES...

Issued at 101 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025



- Hot and humid conditions will prevail through the end of the

  week and likely through the weekend with heat index values of

  100-109 degrees.



- Rainfall chances increase Sunday afternoon through the middle of

  next week. The best chances for precipitation will be across 

  the northern half of the state. 



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 141 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025



Hot and humid condns were noted acrs the FA Thurs aftn w/ recent

radar mosaic imgry indicating isolated precip activity along the

lower MS River Valley region. Expect additional convective

development acrs Ern Cntrl to SErn AR thru the remainder of the

evng, w/ a few strong storms capable of gusty winds.



The persistence fcst wl win out thru the end of the week, w/ daily

hazardous heat expected to persist into Fri and Sat aftn. The

main source of daily relief wl be dependent on the density of 

diurnal Cu, and any isolated to scattered storms that develop 

around the FA. 



By early next week, expect higher magnitude and covg of precip 

chances over much of the FA as a pronounced H500 shortwave trof 

pivots Swrd into the Midwest/Great Lakes region, and a trailing, 

but weak synoptic cdfrnt extends thru the Cntrl Plains. The frnt 

is expected to stall out over the Ozark Plateau region on Mon, 

and serve as a focal point for additional rainfall chcs Tues and 

Wed, though significant variability is still evident b/w the 

last few runs of deterministic GFS/ECMWF solns.



Along w/ incrsg rain chances Mon night and thru the remainder of the 

PD, cooler temperatures (relatively speaking) and heat index values 

below 100 degrees may be seen as well, and after a few weeks of 

typical Arkansas summer, better rain chances and cooler temps are 

certainly worth monitoring.



Generally, daily rain chances thru the end of the week wl be 

confined to diurnal activity in the aftn to evng, w/ isolated storms 

capable of gusty winds and heavy rainfall. The severe weather threat 

wl stay low and conditional, w/ an occasional strong storm possible. 



&&



.AVIATION...

(00Z TAFS)

Issued at 615 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025



Sctd TS were noted acrs SErn AR on recent radar imgry, w/ asctd

cirrus drifting Nwrd into Cntrl and E Cntrl AR. VFR condns were

ongoing at area terminals, and are expected to prevail thru the

new TAF PD. Convective activity wl lkly persist for a few hours

beyond 00Z Thurs night, w/ light winds prevailing overnight and

SWrly winds resuming on Fri. No other sig wx is expected.



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Batesville AR     74  94  74  93 /   0  20  10  30 

Camden AR         73  96  74  96 /  10  10   0  10 

Harrison AR       72  88  71  88 /  10  40  10  40 

Hot Springs AR    73  94  74  95 /   0  10   0  20 

Little Rock   AR  75  95  76  95 /   0  10   0  20 

Monticello AR     74  96  76  96 /  10  10   0  10 

Mount Ida AR      72  93  73  93 /   0  20   0  20 

Mountain Home AR  72  89  71  90 /  10  50  10  50 

Newport AR        75  95  76  95 /  10  10  10  30 

Pine Bluff AR     73  95  75  95 /  10  10   0  20 

Russellville AR   73  93  74  93 /   0  30  10  30 

Searcy AR         73  95  74  95 /   0  10  10  20 

Stuttgart AR      75  94  77  94 /  20   0  10  20 



&&



.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT Friday for ARZ007-008-016-017-024-

025-031>034-039-042>047-053>057-062>069-123.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...72

AVIATION...72

