FNUS51 KBUF 261405

FWFBUF



Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York

National Weather Service Buffalo NY

1004 AM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025



.DISCUSSION...

A frontal boundary will remain over the eastern Great Lakes today 

through Saturday, producing several rounds of showers and scattered 

thunderstorms with localized heavy rainfall possible. The front will 

finally move east of the area Saturday night, with high pressure 

building into the eastern Great Lakes Sunday providing a dry second 

half of the weekend.



NYZ201-262000-

Lake Ontario Plains-

1004 AM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025



                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy

Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers        Tstms

Chance Precip (%)                  80           50           70

Chance of Thunder (%)              20            0           50

Max/Min Temp                       76           59           83

Min/Max Humidity (%)               50          100           59

AM Wind (mph)                   NE  5                     SE  6

PM Wind (mph)                   NE  8         E  7         S  8

Precip Amount                    0.21         0.03         0.17

Precip Duration                     8            2            8

Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing

Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4700           50         4380

Transport Wind (kts)             E 16         E 13         S 21

Vent Rate (kt-ft)               75200          650        91980

Dispersion Index                   75            1           92

Remarks...None.



$$



NYZ200-262000-

Southern Tier-

1004 AM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025



                                Today      Tonight          Fri

Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy

Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers        Tstms

Chance Precip (%)                  40           50           70

Chance of Thunder (%)              20            0           50

Max/Min Temp                       82           63           83

Min/Max Humidity (%)               58          100           61

AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                      S  5

PM Wind (mph)                    N  6      Lgt/Var         S  7

Precip Amount                    0.20         0.03         0.22

Precip Duration                     3            2            5

Precip Begin                     6 AM        10 PM   Continuing

Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing

Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5060                      5080

Transport Wind (kts)            NW 11         E  5         S 16

Vent Rate (kt-ft)               55660            0        81280

Dispersion Index                   56            0           81

Remarks...None.



$$



.EXTENDED FORECAST...



.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. 

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the

upper 70s. 

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower

60s. Highs in the upper 70s. 

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. 

.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of

thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. 

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and

thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. 



WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...East around 5 mph. 

WIND SATURDAY...South around 5 mph. 

WIND SUNDAY...Southwest around 5 mph. 

WIND MONDAY...Southeast around 5 mph. 

WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph. 

WIND WEDNESDAY...West around 5 mph. 



.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...

Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.



$$

