FGUS51 KTAR 261507

RVFBUF

RIVER FORECAST

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA

1107 AM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025

:

:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.

:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.

:

:************************************************************

:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 3.4 FT at Jun-26 1032 AM

.ER ATTN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4

.E2  :0627:  /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.5

.E3  :0628:  /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5

.E4  :0629:  /   3.4

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.15/ 0.25/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.12/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY

:Flood stage 9.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Jun-26 1000 AM

.ER BTVN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   1.9 /   2.0 /   1.9

.E2  :0627:  /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9 /   2.0

.E3  :0628:  /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9 /   1.9

.E4  :0629:  /   1.8

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.20/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.14/ 0.22/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY

:Flood stage 12.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 1.4 FT at Jun-26 1000 AM

.ER RAPN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   1.5 /   1.5 /   1.6

.E2  :0627:  /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6 /   1.6

.E3  :0628:  /   1.7 /   1.7 /   1.7 /   1.6

.E4  :0629:  /   1.6

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.33/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY

:Flood stage 10.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at Jun-26 1015 AM

.ER GOWN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   1.7 /   1.8 /   1.7

.E2  :0627:  /   1.7 /   1.8 /   2.0 /   3.8

.E3  :0628:  /   3.1 /   3.0 /   3.2 /   2.9

.E4  :0629:  /   2.8

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.17/ 0.83/ 0.05/ 0.05/ 0.15/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY

:Flood stage 7.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 0.7 FT at Jun-26 1015 AM

.ER GDVN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.7

.E2  :0627:  /   0.7 /   0.8 /   0.8 /   0.8

.E3  :0628:  /   0.8 /   1.0 /   0.9 /   0.9

.E4  :0629:  /   0.9

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.19/ 0.24/ 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.12/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 3.4 FT at Jun-26 1030 AM

.ER LCSN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   3.2 /   3.3 /   3.1

.E2  :0627:  /   3.0 /   3.1 /   3.3 /   3.8

.E3  :0628:  /   3.6 /   3.5 /   3.8 /   3.6

.E4  :0629:  /   3.3

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.14/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.12/ 0.15/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY

:Flood stage 10.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.4 FT at Jun-26 1100 AM

.ER EBZN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   2.4 /   2.4 /   2.4

.E2  :0627:  /   2.4 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.8

.E3  :0628:  /   2.8 /   3.0 /   3.3 /   3.2

.E4  :0629:  /   3.0

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.28/ 0.29/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.13/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY

:Flood stage 8.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Jun-26 1015 AM

.ER WILN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6

.E2  :0627:  /   2.6 /   2.5 /   2.6 /   2.5

.E3  :0628:  /   2.5 /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.5

.E4  :0629:  /   2.5

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.24/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.09/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY

:Flood stage 11.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 4.9 FT at Jun-26 1045 AM

.ER WLLN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   4.9 /   4.9 /   4.9

.E2  :0627:  /   4.8 /   4.9 /   5.0 /   5.4

.E3  :0628:  /   6.0 /   5.6 /   5.6 /   5.7

.E4  :0629:  /   5.5

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.09/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.12/ 0.34/ 0.39/ 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.14/ 0.02/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Genesee River - Portageville, NY

:Flood stage 19.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 9.3 FT at Jun-26 1000 AM

.ER PRTN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   9.3 /   9.4 /   9.4

.E2  :0627:  /   9.4 /   9.4 /   9.6 /  10.9

.E3  :0628:  /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.7 /  10.6

.E4  :0629:  /  10.4

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.12/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.19/ 0.66/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.13/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION

:************************************************************

:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY

:Flood stage 760.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 590.3 FT at Jun-26 1000 AM

.ER MMDN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          / 590.2 / 590.2 / 590.2

.E2  :0627:  / 590.2 / 590.2 / 590.2 / 590.2

.E3  :0628:  / 604.7 / 608.1 / 608.3 / 608.4

.E4  :0629:  / 608.6

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.12/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.14/ 0.29/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.12/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Genesee River - Avon, NY

:Flood stage 33.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 17.1 FT at Jun-26 1015 AM

.ER AVON6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /  17.2 /  17.1 /  17.1

.E2  :0627:  /  17.1 /  17.1 /  17.2 /  17.3

.E3  :0628:  /  17.6 /  18.1 /  18.5 /  19.6

.E4  :0629:  /  20.6

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.22/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.16/ 0.25/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.12/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION

:************************************************************

:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY

:Flood stage 6.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.6 FT at Jun-26 1000 AM

.ER GRBN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6

.E2  :0627:  /   2.5 /   2.6 /   3.0 /   3.0

.E3  :0628:  /   2.8 /   2.7 /   2.8 /   2.7

.E4  :0629:  /   2.7

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.28/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.17/ 0.22/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Black Creek - Churchville, NY

:Flood stage 6.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 1.5 FT at Jun-26 1000 AM

.ER CHRN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   1.5 /   1.6 /   1.6

.E2  :0627:  /   1.7 /   1.7 /   1.8 /   1.8

.E3  :0628:  /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8 /   1.8

.E4  :0629:  /   1.8

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.53/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.15/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Genesee River - Rochester, NY

:Flood stage 15.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 6.5 FT at Jun-26 0800 AM

.ER RHRN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   6.8 /   6.8 /   6.6

.E2  :0627:  /   6.4 /   6.3 /   6.4 /   6.6

.E3  :0628:  /   6.6 /   6.5 /   6.6 /   6.8

.E4  :0629:  /   7.1

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.44/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.16/ 0.21/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.12/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/

:

:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION

:************************************************************

:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY

:Flood stage 6.5 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.7 FT at Jun-26 1030 AM

.ER HNYN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   2.8 /   2.7 /   2.7

.E2  :0627:  /   2.7 /   2.8 /   2.9 /   2.7

.E3  :0628:  /   2.7 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.7

.E4  :0629:  /   2.7

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.22/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.14/ 0.28/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.16/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.00/

:

:RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION

:************************************************************

:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY

:Flood stage 690.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 688.3 FT at Jun-26 1030 AM

.ER CNDN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6

:POOL FCST   /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          / 688.4 / 688.4 / 688.4

.E2  :0627:  / 688.4 / 688.4 / 688.4 / 688.4

.E3  :0628:  / 688.4 / 688.4 / 688.5 / 688.5

.E4  :0629:  / 688.5

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.23/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.15/ 0.28/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.18/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY

:Flood stage 7.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 3.4 FT at Jun-26 1030 AM

.ER CPNN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4

.E2  :0627:  /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.5

.E3  :0628:  /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4

.E4  :0629:  /   3.4

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

:

:

:************************************************************

:Black River - Boonville, NY

:Flood stage 10.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 4.7 FT at Jun-26 1000 AM

.ER BOON6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   4.7 /   4.6 /   4.6

.E2  :0627:  /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.6

.E3  :0628:  /   4.7 /   4.9 /   5.2 /   5.5

.E4  :0629:  /   5.6

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.05/ 0.05/ 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.07/ 0.15/ 0.08/ 0.24/ 0.26/ 0.26/ 0.03/ 0.01/

:

:************************************************************

:Moose River - McKeever, NY

:Flood stage 12.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 2.6 FT at Jun-26 1030 AM

.ER MCKN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6

.E2  :0627:  /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6

.E3  :0628:  /   2.6 /   2.7 /   2.9 /   3.2

.E4  :0629:  /   3.3

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.11/ 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.31/ 0.27/ 0.19/ 0.02/ 0.00/

:

:************************************************************

:Black River - Watertown, NY

:Flood stage 10.0 ft

:Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Jun-26 1030 AM

.ER ARTN6 20250626 E DC202506261107/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6

:STAGE FCST  /   8AM /   2PM /   8PM /   2AM

.E1  :0626:          /   3.8 /   3.7 /   3.6

.E2  :0627:  /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.4

.E3  :0628:  /   3.4 /   3.5 /   3.7 /   3.9

.E4  :0629:  /   4.1

: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep

: 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.14/ 0.10/ 0.33/ 0.22/ 0.13/ 0.02/ 0.00/

:

:*******************************************************************

:

:

$$

:NERFC

:...END of MESSAGE...

